Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 47.422981 54.578631 62.000955 70.240061 79.096273 88.298223 98.550823
2025-04-20 38.455608 48.788712 60.085293 73.207967 87.896279 103.706607 121.890065
2025-04-27 32.730523 44.774384 58.468641 74.894737 93.787015 114.589440 138.989198
2025-05-04 27.283302 40.224328 55.507186 74.387845 96.632240 121.607540 151.386763
2025-05-11 22.830725 36.259760 52.710116 73.594528 98.733437 127.439397 162.146526
2025-05-18 19.813236 33.712614 51.309974 74.183380 102.216569 134.673310 174.356586
2025-05-25 16.852043 30.878871 49.260655 73.726893 104.244668 140.048910 184.288224
2025-06-01 14.624770 28.784547 47.951171 74.014699 107.032450 146.214860 195.063404
2025-06-08 12.295541 26.259340 45.851590 73.110501 108.203668 150.337689 203.341481
2025-06-15 10.968090 25.076457 45.456392 74.323559 111.947933 157.518981 215.231432
2025-06-22 9.833798 24.057783 45.192010 75.634910 115.765373 164.760258 227.182949
2025-06-29 8.271348 22.132601 43.487302 74.896420 116.875039 168.617406 235.012216
2025-07-06 6.574586 19.737986 40.945128 72.917510 116.333998 170.430929 240.404140
2025-07-13 6.188540 19.684122 41.904021 75.794132 122.152803 180.200239 255.553832
2025-07-20 5.600898 19.158629 42.084311 77.540215 126.461858 188.071888 268.385512
2025-07-27 4.637905 17.720605 40.727456 77.019048 127.701821 192.038464 276.388142
2025-08-03 3.755275 16.269111 39.232428 76.209718 128.490082 195.387150 283.596112
2025-08-10 3.209604 15.462015 38.732517 76.810797 131.156527 201.116883 293.760146
2025-08-17 2.584729 14.310075 37.558741 76.344781 132.320156 204.888412 301.463216
2025-08-24 2.140503 13.504980 36.920054 76.638604 134.499985 209.955526 310.785841
2025-08-31 1.628543 12.332829 35.530438 75.715466 134.940714 212.732833 317.205522
2025-09-07 1.397754 11.948885 35.549389 76.953913 138.398475 219.447439 328.611223
2025-09-14 1.202073 11.618637 35.641507 78.292521 141.993276 226.346315 340.264168